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Flanigan'S Enterprises (Flanigan'S Enterprises) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) : $-66.46 (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Flanigan'S Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)?

As of today (2024-04-27), Flanigan'S Enterprises's intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model is $-66.46.

Note: Discounted Cash Flow model is only suitable for predictable companies (Business Predictability Rank higher than 1-Star). If the company's predictability rank is 1-Star or Not Rated, result may not be accurate due to the low predictability of business and the data will not be stored into our database.

Flanigan'S Enterprises's Predictability Rank is 3-Stars.

Margin of Safety (FCF Based) using Discounted Cash Flow model for Flanigan'S Enterprises is N/A.

The industry rank for Flanigan'S Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) or its related term are showing as below:

BDL's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) is not ranked *
in the Restaurants industry.
Industry Median: 1.15
* Ranked among companies with meaningful Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) only.

Flanigan'S Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Historical Data

The historical data trend for Flanigan'S Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) can be seen below:

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.

* Premium members only.

Flanigan'S Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Chart

Flanigan'S Enterprises Annual Data
Trend Sep14 Sep15 Sep16 Sep17 Sep18 Sep19 Sep20 Sep21 Sep22 Sep23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 30.76 - 21.62 6.37 -63.21

Flanigan'S Enterprises Quarterly Data
Mar19 Jun19 Sep19 Dec19 Mar20 Jun20 Sep20 Dec20 Mar21 Jun21 Sep21 Dec21 Mar22 Jun22 Sep22 Dec22 Mar23 Jun23 Sep23 Dec23
Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Get a 7-Day Free Trial Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only Premium Member Only 10.44 -18.45 -68.47 -63.21 -71.90

Competitive Comparison of Flanigan'S Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)

For the Restaurants subindustry, Flanigan'S Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based), along with its competitors' market caps and Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Flanigan'S Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) Distribution in the Restaurants Industry

For the Restaurants industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Flanigan'S Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Flanigan'S Enterprises's Price-to-DCF (FCF Based) falls into.



Flanigan'S Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Calculation

This is the intrinsic value calculated from the Discounted Cash Flow model with default parameters. In a discounted cash flow model, the future cash flow is estimated based on a cash flow growth rate and a discount rate. The cash flow of the future is discounted to its current value at the discount rate. All of the discounted future cash flow is added together to get the current intrinsic value of the company.

Usually a two-stage model is used when calculating a stock's intrinsic value using a discounted cash flow model. The first stage is called the growth stage; the second is called the terminal stage. In the growth stage the company grows at a faster rate. Because it cannot grow at that rate forever, a lower rate is used for the terminal stage.

GuruFocus DCF calculator is a two-stage model. The default values are defined as:

1. Discount Rate: d = 11%
A reasonable discount rate assumption should be at least the long term average return of the stock market, which can be estimated from risk free rate plus risk premium of stock market. GuruFocus uses 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate as the risk-free rate and rounded up to the nearest integer. It is updated daily. The current risk-free rate is 4.66%. Please go to Economic Indicators page for more information. Please note that we use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the country/region where the company is headquartered. If the data for that country/region is not available, then we will use the 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Rate of the United States as default. Then we added a risk premium of 6% to get the estimated discount rate. Some investors use their expected rate of return, which is also reasonable. A typical discount rate can be anywhere between 6% - 20%.

2. Growth Rate in the growth stage: g1 = 5%
The Growth Rate in the growth stage is initially set as the default 10-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). In cases where the 10-year growth rate is unavailable, it defaults to using the 5-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share). If both the 10-year and 5-year growth rates are unavailable, the system defaults to the 3-Year FCF Growth Rate (Per Share).
However, it's important to note that there is a growth rate range. If the calculated growth rate exceeds 20%, it will be capped at 20%. Conversely, if the calculated growth rate falls below 5%, it will be adjusted to 5% to maintain a reasonable range.
=> Flanigan'S Enterprises's average Free Cash Flow Growth Rate in the past 3 years was 0.00%, which is less than 5%. GuruFocus defaults => Growth Rate: 5%

3. Years of Growth Stage: y1 = 10

4. Terminal Growth Rate: g2 = 4%

5. Years of Terminal Growth: y2 = 10

6. Free Cash Flow per Share: fcf = $-5.759.
However, GuruFocus DCF calculator is actually a Discounted Earnings calculator, the EPS without NRI is used as the default. The reason we are doing this is we found that historically stock prices are more correlated with earnings than free cash flow.

All of the default settings can be changed and the results are calculated automatically.

Flanigan'S Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) for today is calculated as

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[(1+g1)/(1+d)+(1+g1)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10]
+(1+g1)^10/(1+d)^10*[(1+g2)/(1+d)+(1+g2)^2/(1+d)^2+...+(1+g2)^10/(1+d)^10]}

set x = (1+g1)/(1+d) = (1+0.05)/(1+0.11) = 0.94594594594595
and y = (1+g2)/(1+d) = (1+0.04)/(1+0.11) = 0.93693693693694

Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)=Free Cash Flow per Share*{[x+x^2+...+x^10]+x^10*[y+y^2+...+y^10]}
=Free Cash Flow per Share*[x*(1-x^10)/(1-x)+x^10*y*(1-y^10)/(1-y)]
=-5.759*11.5406
=-66.46

Margin of Safety (FCF Based)=(Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)-Current Price)/Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based)
=(-66.46-27.00)/-66.46
=N/A

* For Operating Data section: All numbers are indicated by the unit behind each term and all currency related amount are in USD.
* For other sections: All numbers are in millions except for per share data, ratio, and percentage. All currency related amount are indicated in the company's associated stock exchange currency.


Flanigan'S Enterprises  (AMEX:BDL) Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Explanation

Unlike valuation methods such as Net Current Asset Value, Tangible Book per Share, Graham Number, Median PS Value etc, discounted Cash Flow model evaluates the companies based on their future earnings power instead of their assets.


Be Aware

What you need to know about the DCF model:

1. The DCF model evaluates a company based on its future earnings power
2. Growth is taken into account; therefore a faster growth company is worth more if everything else is the same.
3. Since we are projecting future growth, it is assumed that the company will grow at the same rate as it did during the past 10 years. Therefore this model works better for the companies that have relatively consistent performance.
4. The DCF model works poorly for inconsistent performers such as cyclicals.
5. What discount rate should you use? Your expected return from the investment is a good discount rate assumption.
6. A larger margin of safety should be required for companies with less predictable businesses.

You can screen for stocks that trade below their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) with the GuruFocus All-in-One Screener. Companies with a high Predictability Rank that trade at a discount to their Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) and Intrinsic Value: DCF (Earnings Based) can be found in the screen of Undervalued Predictable Companies.


Flanigan'S Enterprises Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) Related Terms

Thank you for viewing the detailed overview of Flanigan'S Enterprises's Intrinsic Value: DCF (FCF Based) provided by GuruFocus.com. Please click on the following links to see related term pages.


Flanigan'S Enterprises (Flanigan'S Enterprises) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
5059 N.E. 18th Avenue, Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA, 33334
Flanigan'S Enterprises Inc operates as a chain of small cocktail lounges and packages liquor stores throughout South Florida. Its menu consists of a wide variety of options including prime rib, steaks, pasta, entree salads, burgers, a variety of sandwiches, and oversized signature desserts. The business activity is principally conducted in two segments namely Restaurant and Package liquor store segment. Its Restaurant segment offers alcoholic beverages and full food service and Package stores consist of retail liquor sales and related items. The company generates maximum revenue from Restaurant segment.
Executives
E. Mary Bennett director 2168 CENTERVIEW CT N, CLEARWATER FL 33759
Christopher Barry Oneil director 4101 NE 26TH AVENUE, LIGHTHOUSE POINT FL 33064
August Bucci director, officer: Chief Operating Officer 13078 NORTHWEST 23RD ST, PEMBROKE PINES FL 33028
James Ii Flanigan director, officer: President 5059 NORTHEAST 18TH AVE, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33334
Jeffrey D Kastner director, officer: CFO & Secretary 5059 N.E. 18TH AVENUE, FORT LAUDERDALE FL 33334
Christopher Jeff Nelms director 724 SE 17TH TERRACE, DEERFIELD BEACH FL 33441
Michael B Flanigan director 601 OVERLOOK DRIVE, STUART FL 34994
Barbara J Kronk director 9990 N.W. 39TH STREET, HOLLYWOOD FL 33024
Jean Picard officer: VP of Package Operations 8351 NORTHWEST 166TH TERRACE, MIAMI FL 33016
Patrick J Flanigan director 1750 NORTHWEST RIVER TRAIL, STUART FL 34994
Joseph G Flanigan director, officer: Chariman & CEO 6 GATEHOUSE ROAD, SEA RANCH LAKES FL 33308

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